nicole26
0xc58f93e769836afc89d1fb1d75db7822205185dc
- Realised P&L
- $8.20
- Volume
- $9.6k
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $70.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting? · No | 0.550 | 0.515 | $26.17 | −$1.78 |
| Will Renan Santos win between 6% and 8% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.909 | 0.941 | $24.58 | +$0.82 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · No | 0.770 | 0.745 | $20.14 | −$0.68 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.57 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.65at 0.450Bitcoin all time high by January 31?
- +$5.02at 0.998Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI before May?
- +$4.55at 0.840Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 50 million or more views in week 1?
- +$0.87at 0.280Bitcoin above $95,000 on January 17?
- +$0.44at 0.890Will Kanye launch a coin in February?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:41 | Will Chainlink dip to $6 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.12 |
| 01-30 16:21 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.78 |
| 01-30 15:38 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.04 |
| 01-30 12:14 | Will XRP reach $2.80 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $33.23 |
| 01-30 12:06 | Will Ethena hit $0.33 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $27.25 |
| 12-30 10:31 | Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.67 |
| 12-29 21:33 | Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.55 |
| 12-29 20:39 | Will XRP reach $3.50 before 2026? | BUY | 0.99799989 | $5.10 |
| 12-29 20:23 | Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $27.92 |
| 12-29 20:05 | Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $34.95 |
| 10-30 22:35 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.35 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $27.24 |
| 10-30 19:06 | Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.55 |
| 09-29 10:43 | Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in September? | BUY | 0.9989999564 | $14.36 |
| 09-29 09:46 | Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.79 |
| 09-29 03:43 | Will Ethereum dip to $2400 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.88 |