0xc5829add394fb6f61244d6c456d508eef51b771e
0xc5829add394fb6f61244d6c456d508eef51b771e
- Realised P&L
- $221.93
- Volume
- $27.7k
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $20.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1? · No | 0.604 | 0.375 | $6.21 | −$3.79 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 19? · Down | 0.630 | 0.700 | $5.56 | +$0.56 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.038 | $4.40 | −$1.60 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.004 | $2.22 | −$2.78 |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 100 and 120 million views on week 1? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $1.25 | −$3.75 |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1? · Yes | 0.086 | 0.004 | $0.78 | −$14.22 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$283.62at 0.007Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
- +$78.07at 0.063Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?
- +$39.71at 0.206Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?
- +$36.92at 0.409Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance
- +$36.31at 0.454Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 21:29 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.6039603739 | $10.00 |
| 10-17 21:26 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 100 and 120 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.00 |
| 10-17 21:23 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.0864670605 | $15.00 |
| 10-17 21:19 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 19? | BUY | 0.629999995 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 09:50 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? | BUY | 0.009 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 09:50 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? | BUY | 0.0518272424 | $6.00 |
| 09-14 15:28 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1997151989 | $11.00 |
| 09-14 15:28 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $20.00 |
| 09-14 15:28 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $10.00 |
| 08-08 09:09 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.1699999759 | $5.00 |
| 08-08 09:09 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.0699999939 | $10.00 |
| 08-08 09:08 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | BUY | 0.0119999988 | $10.00 |
| 08-08 09:05 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3699999771 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 21:04 | Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina? | SELL | 0.999 | $35.67 |
| 07-15 20:59 | Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina? | SELL | 0.0207768723 | $1.07 |