ujjfas
0xc5802d324bb42f85de9a6c22ec1980d05944d225
- Realised P&L
- $-34.36
- Volume
- $76.2k
- Markets traded
- 97
- Open portfolio
- $92.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded97
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $32.00 | +$0.03 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September? · No | 0.997 | 1.000 | $23.00 | +$0.07 |
| Will Ethereum hit $4k by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.575 | $14.38 | +$3.13 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.962 | 0.988 | $12.84 | +$0.33 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.685 | $10.28 | −$2.63 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January? · No | 0.931 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.31 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.00at 0.005Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$7.13at 0.766Solana all time high before 2026?
- +$2.70at 0.805Ethereum all time high by December 31?
- +$2.36at 0.007Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$2.27at 0.005Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 17:48 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.86 | $12.90 |
| 09-21 17:48 | Will Ethereum hit $4k by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.45 | $11.25 |
| 09-21 17:48 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $31.97 |
| 09-21 17:48 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September? | BUY | 0.997 | $22.93 |
| 05-19 20:00 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $7.98 |
| 05-19 20:00 | Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in May? | BUY | 0.998 | $54.89 |
| 05-19 20:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? | BUY | 0.998 | $54.89 |
| 04-24 15:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April? | BUY | 0.998 | $19.97 |
| 04-24 15:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.97 |
| 04-24 15:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April? | BUY | 0.999 | $27.72 |
| 04-16 16:53 | Trump out as President by April 30? | BUY | 0.993 | $13.12 |
| 04-16 16:52 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.962 | $12.51 |
| 04-16 16:52 | Will DeepSeek have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $11.95 |
| 04-16 16:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.97 |
| 04-16 16:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.37 | $40.57 |