0xBAE
0xc57c5016b23440b726b1b0ce8a9df351ecd65070
- Realised P&L
- $-32.01
- Volume
- $8.6k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $29.48
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.026 | $12.05 | −$7.95 |
| Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.065 | $7.50 | −$7.50 |
| Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027? · Yes | 0.066 | 0.017 | $7.09 | −$20.41 |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.025 | $2.84 | −$11.66 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by April 30? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$32.50 |
| Will Donald Trump's tie be red? · Yes | 0.284 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$83.04 |
| Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025? · No | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.00 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by May 31, 2026? · No | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$58.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$54.46at 0.260Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?
- +$26.87at 0.130U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-30 15:28 | Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999928 | $14.50 |
| 04-30 15:20 | Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? | BUY | 0.1299999929 | $15.00 |
| 04-30 15:20 | Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | BUY | 0.0439999979 | $20.00 |
| 04-30 15:17 | Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027? | BUY | 0.066 | $12.49 |
| 04-30 15:13 | Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027? | BUY | 0.0659261588 | $15.00 |
| 04-30 14:39 | Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10? | SELL | 0.85 | $78.45 |
| 04-25 12:05 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0225594714 | $4.72 |
| 04-25 07:29 | Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10? | BUY | 0.2599999928 | $24.00 |
| 04-25 07:24 | Will Donald Trump's tie be red? | BUY | 0.05 | $14.05 |
| 04-22 14:36 | U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $30.89 |
| 04-11 09:54 | U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30? | BUY | 0.1299999757 | $4.02 |
| 04-11 09:49 | Will UAE strike Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.1199999852 | $6.50 |
| 04-11 09:49 | Will UAE strike Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.1199999852 | $6.50 |
| 04-11 09:49 | Will UAE strike Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.1199999852 | $6.50 |
| 04-11 09:49 | Will UAE strike Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.1199999852 | $6.50 |