PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xBAE

0xc57c5016b23440b726b1b0ce8a9df351ecd65070

Realised P&L
$-32.01
Volume
$8.6k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$29.48

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration67.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes0.0440.026$12.05$7.95
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? · Yes0.1300.065$7.50$7.50
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027? · Yes0.0660.017$7.09$20.41
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1300.025$2.84$11.66
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$32.50
Will Donald Trump's tie be red? · Yes0.2840.000$0.00$83.04
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025? · No0.0020.000$0.00$13.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by May 31, 2026? · No0.2700.000$0.00$58.96

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-30 15:28Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1299999928$14.50
04-30 15:20Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?BUY0.1299999929$15.00
04-30 15:20Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?BUY0.0439999979$20.00
04-30 15:17Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?BUY0.066$12.49
04-30 15:13Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?BUY0.0659261588$15.00
04-30 14:39Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?SELL0.85$78.45
04-25 12:05Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by May 31, 2026?BUY0.0225594714$4.72
04-25 07:29Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?BUY0.2599999928$24.00
04-25 07:24Will Donald Trump's tie be red?BUY0.05$14.05
04-22 14:36U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?SELL0.999$30.89
04-11 09:54U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?BUY0.1299999757$4.02
04-11 09:49Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?BUY0.1199999852$6.50
04-11 09:49Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?BUY0.1199999852$6.50
04-11 09:49Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?BUY0.1199999852$6.50
04-11 09:49Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?BUY0.1199999852$6.50