lkanbtc
0xc57b291480f6bf2e4ee682e032b8de74e7528b6a
- Realised P&L
- $-41.51
- Volume
- $204.2k
- Markets traded
- 195
- Open portfolio
- $248.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded195
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.180Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 16?
- +$1.6kat 0.334Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
- +$1.5kat 0.520Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
- +$1.4kat 0.497Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
- +$1.2kat 0.401Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 09:34 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on October 20? | BUY | 0.15 | $372.25 |
| 10-19 12:54 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 19? | BUY | 0.18 | $6.66 |
| 10-19 12:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8AM ET | BUY | 0.2399999981 | $20.00 |
| 10-19 12:13 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 19? | SELL | 0.0160040816 | $19.60 |
| 10-18 23:28 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 19? | BUY | 0.056 | $68.60 |
| 10-17 15:41 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.0669489939 | $282.19 |
| 10-16 14:29 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 16? | BUY | 0.17 | $344.81 |
| 10-09 16:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5999999951 | $24.64 |
| 10-09 16:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET | SELL | 0.356 | $17.80 |
| 10-09 16:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $25.00 |
| 10-09 16:26 | Solana Up or Down - October 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | SELL | 0.2766666667 | $8.30 |
| 10-09 16:23 | Solana Up or Down - October 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $15.00 |
| 10-09 16:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999972 | $15.00 |
| 10-09 16:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | BUY | 0.4899999984 | $15.00 |
| 10-09 16:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5899999957 | $15.00 |