0xc56d85cc41a7ca7d0f846ed9b028956c518f58b2
0xc56d85cc41a7ca7d0f846ed9b028956c518f58b2
- Realised P&L
- $16.17
- Volume
- $397.91
- Markets traded
- 116
- Open portfolio
- $4.95
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded116
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.390 | $1.56 | +$0.56 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.815 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.435 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.185 | $0.77 | −$0.23 |
| Will ISM Services PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in October? · Yes | 0.205 | 0.126 | $0.61 | −$0.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.58at 0.371Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?
- +$7.03at 0.227Walmart (WMT) Q2 US comp sales (ex-fuel) growth 3%-4.5%?
- +$4.72at 0.490Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of July 20 2026?
- +$2.97at 0.258Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on September 30, 2026?
- +$2.82at 0.268Will OpenRouter process between 165T and 175T tokens the week of October 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 00:58 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 16:18 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 05:53 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 11:38 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in October? | BUY | 0.2049999908 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 17:27 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 08:50 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 00:46 | Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October? | BUY | 0.7299994744 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 04:45 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27? | BUY | 0.5899997404 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 20:44 | Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 12:44 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-24 15:35 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-24 07:03 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-23 16:55 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-23 08:52 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-23 00:51 | Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |