junatrades
0xc55f9ef20f810363ee8c635f24a1e43943ae56f0
- Realised P&L
- $290.16
- Volume
- $6.1k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $29.40
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.105 | $29.40 | −$68.60 |
| Starmer out by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.373 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$38.82 |
| Starmer out by May 19, 2026? · Yes | 0.152 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$381.13at 0.758Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
- +$2.72at 0.620Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?
- +$1.75at 0.610Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be less than 300k?
- +$1.46at 0.659Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$0.81at 0.860Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-19 07:56 | Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $605.57 |
| 06-19 07:49 | Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $1.5k |
| 05-17 02:11 | Starmer out by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3697361942 | $21.02 |
| 05-17 02:10 | Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $519.20 |
| 05-17 02:10 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $201.50 |
| 05-17 02:09 | Starmer out by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3768102499 | $17.79 |
| 05-17 02:09 | Starmer out by May 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.152 | $15.20 |
| 05-14 05:08 | Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $335.16 |
| 05-12 11:33 | Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $163.40 |
| 05-12 11:32 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.44 | $149.60 |
| 05-11 21:20 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $12.74 |
| 05-11 21:19 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $197.10 |
| 05-11 18:42 | Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $79.00 |
| 05-11 18:41 | Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $323.90 |
| 05-09 21:09 | Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.61 | $218.38 |