0xc558b0810d91b98534228d73d0a087fab08a0d66
- Realised P&L
- $-43.02
- Volume
- $731.83
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $155.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.42at 0.250Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 17?
- +$8.96at 0.808Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 17?
- +$5.71at 0.338Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 17?
- +$3.19at 0.410Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 17?
- +$2.37at 0.904Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on September 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 05:20 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.35 | $5.63 |
| 09-18 04:12 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.4580272727 | $5.04 |
| 09-18 03:24 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $8.01 |
| 09-18 03:24 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $8.63 |
| 09-18 03:24 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $12.58 |
| 09-18 03:24 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $46.95 |
| 09-18 03:24 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.04 |
| 09-18 03:24 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.83 |
| 09-18 03:23 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.41 |
| 09-18 03:23 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $25.05 |
| 09-18 03:16 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $31.23 |
| 09-17 14:30 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.83 | $8.02 |
| 09-17 09:11 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.9 | $4.69 |
| 09-17 09:11 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.9 | $17.89 |
| 09-17 06:11 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.8 | $31.74 |