PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xc558b0810d91b98534228d73d0a087fab08a0d66

Realised P&L
$-43.02
Volume
$731.83
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$155.34

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on September 18? · No0.8700.860$39.63$0.46
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 18? · Yes0.6500.600$30.95$2.58
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 18? · No0.8900.875$20.13$0.35
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 18? · No0.8700.915$12.81+$0.63
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 18? · Yes0.4000.375$12.15$0.81
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 18? · No0.8301.000$9.66+$1.64
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 18? · Yes0.3300.435$7.54+$1.82
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 18? · No0.7700.760$6.95$0.09
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 18? · Yes0.5500.475$5.70$0.90
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on September 18? · Yes0.3500.305$4.90$0.72
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 18? · No0.4580.410$4.51$0.53
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 18? · Yes0.0200.035$0.42+$0.18
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 17? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00$13.55
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on September 17? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$3.75
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on September 17? · No0.9400.000$0.00$5.77

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 05:20Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on September 18?BUY0.35$5.63
09-18 04:12Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 18?BUY0.4580272727$5.04
09-18 03:24Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on September 17?SELL0.999$8.01
09-18 03:24Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 17?SELL0.999$8.63
09-18 03:24Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 17?SELL0.999$12.58
09-18 03:24Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 17?SELL0.999$46.95
09-18 03:24Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on September 17?SELL0.999$9.04
09-18 03:24Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 17?SELL0.999$9.83
09-18 03:23Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 17?SELL0.999$5.41
09-18 03:23Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on September 17?SELL0.999$25.05
09-18 03:16Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 17?SELL0.999$31.23
09-17 14:30Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 18?BUY0.83$8.02
09-17 09:11Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on September 17?BUY0.9$4.69
09-17 09:11Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on September 17?BUY0.9$17.89
09-17 06:11Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 17?BUY0.8$31.74