0xc5535E6419e52074dc13Dd2a23D10f3C501e07f3-1776917647437
0xc5535e6419e52074dc13dd2a23d10f3c501e07f3
- Realised P&L
- $-3.4k
- Volume
- $224.4k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $10.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.404 | 0.385 | $3.3k | −$169.48 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.550 | 0.846 | $2.5k | +$886.50 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? · Yes | 0.403 | 0.090 | $1.8k | −$6.3k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.540 | 0.810 | $1.6k | +$539.99 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.220 | $704.00 | −$288.00 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.080 | $170.92 | −$839.57 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.895 | 0.976 | $3.06 | +$0.25 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? · No | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.5k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.616Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?
- +$1.1kat 0.630Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$1.0kat 0.779Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$1.0kat 0.745Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
- +$870.00at 0.710Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-17 02:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $376.00 |
| 04-08 03:31 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.41 | $8.20 |
| 03-23 03:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $947.48 |
| 03-20 03:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | SELL | 0.82 | $3.9k |
| 03-14 07:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on March 14? | BUY | 0.991 | $0.92 |
| 03-14 07:33 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.63 | $31.50 |
| 03-14 07:31 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.6192481203 | $247.08 |