kjwnqjnjwnq
0xc5499208e78ac74ea41dcf4ddeb945e6d398884e
- Realised P&L
- $-17.40
- Volume
- $215.95
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $4.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 9? · No | 0.810 | 0.640 | $4.01 | −$1.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.69at 0.580Senators vs. Lightning
- +$1.58at 0.770Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?
- +$1.47at 0.790Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$1.43at 0.810Thunder vs. Magic
- +$0.77at 0.880Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 07:08 | Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 9? | BUY | 0.809999992 | $5.08 |
| 09-22 07:45 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.22 |
| 09-06 06:29 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.9699999962 | $5.17 |
| 08-24 03:59 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | BUY | 0.9699998408 | $5.18 |
| 08-08 07:25 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.04 |
| 07-23 06:03 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 23? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.23 |
| 07-14 04:31 | Israel closes its airspace by July 15? | BUY | 0.9769999979 | $5.10 |
| 07-12 04:27 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999964 | $5.26 |
| 07-02 02:57 | Iran successfully targets shipping on July 2? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.28 |
| 06-28 08:53 | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.9549999342 | $5.08 |
| 06-19 06:36 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9189999955 | $5.34 |
| 06-14 07:00 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 15? | BUY | 0.9769999973 | $6.14 |
| 06-01 07:07 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.38 |
| 05-26 05:47 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26? | BUY | 0.9299998304 | $5.32 |
| 05-18 05:42 | Iran closes its airspace by May 18? | BUY | 0.9749999539 | $5.82 |