0xc546a9a6182e1e37c3ae34239f56663da2d38d53
0xc546a9a6182e1e37c3ae34239f56663da2d38d53
- Realised P&L
- $-6.26
- Volume
- $168.51
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $0.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q3 investment banking fees be above $3.35B? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.185 | $0.77 | −$0.23 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.82at 0.268Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$2.31at 0.308SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30?
- +$2.10at 0.329Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $117.50 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$1.75at 0.369Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$1.75at 0.369Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of September 7 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 20:16 | Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q3 investment banking fees be above $3.35B? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 21:49 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $775 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 01:49 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $367.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 16:49 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 08:18 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 5? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:02 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 15:26 | Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 06:02 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 03:04 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 16:54 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 08:42 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 23:21 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 13:38 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 16:20 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 19:06 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.20% in September? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |