crojasa19
0xc54226931ddb1f99a9461226811e70f214463d66
- Realised P&L
- $-12.91
- Volume
- $982.59
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $109.13
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)27.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.09at 0.263Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$1.48at 0.590Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?
- +$0.96at 0.855Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- +$-1.20at 0.049Xi Jinping out before 2027?
- +$-2.27at 0.242Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 14:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099999756 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 01:04 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.934 | $11.75 |
| 09-17 01:03 | SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0746181172 | $2.10 |
| 09-16 03:57 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.769999923 | $5.60 |
| 09-15 19:20 | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.7399999723 | $5.35 |
| 09-15 00:56 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $6.58 |
| 09-15 00:56 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.7656882821 | $6.73 |
| 09-12 05:36 | Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.8429999959 | $5.35 |
| 09-12 01:13 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5799999636 | $5.10 |
| 09-12 00:12 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.08 |
| 09-11 22:15 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.00 |
| 09-08 23:38 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15? | SELL | 0.1358173357 | $2.33 |
| 09-08 22:46 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.76 |
| 09-08 20:30 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15? | BUY | 0.2353846118 | $5.10 |
| 09-08 20:27 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $5.10 |