PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

sokil23

0xc53aff5fe98c6904c84706be2d5d6a93bb2765f8

Realised P&L
$-319.87
Volume
$6.6k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$133.15

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration58.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration76.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? · Yes0.2660.135$101.64−$98.36
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7500.840$22.40+$2.40
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? · Yes0.4200.765$9.11+$4.11
Will Russia enter Borova by September 30? · Yes0.1110.000$0.00−$58.31

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 18:22Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?BUY0.2656454074$200.00
09-29 20:26Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?SELL0.6820833333$163.70
09-29 20:26Will Russia enter Borova by September 30?SELL0.0083203879$10.61
09-23 22:57Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?BUY0.75$200.00
09-23 22:57Will Russia enter Borova by September 30?BUY0.1110745583$200.00
09-01 14:45Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?SELL0.4290253249$154.50
09-01 14:44Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30?SELL0.1127233115$24.84
09-01 14:43Will Russia capture Toretske by September 30, 2026?SELL0.9701646399$204.24
08-23 18:19Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?BUY0.555370161$200.00
08-23 18:19Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30?BUY0.907730673$200.00
08-23 18:19Will Russia capture Toretske by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9499999986$200.00
08-18 18:04Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8619999994$200.00
08-18 18:04Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?BUY0.75$200.00
08-11 14:06Will Russia enter Stinky by August 31?BUY0.9499999986$200.00
07-23 12:39Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?BUY0.4199999832$5.00