0x4A2d3bDd5fa5A5C499B45FF653407Eb8bE1Dd3A3-1774466939546
0xc5310f8bf609dd1f5c18c740aae0d3224a139bda
- Realised P&L
- $-861.52
- Volume
- $446.7k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $133.38
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.57at 0.205Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?
- +$25.94at 0.014Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$-2.04at 0.332Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
- +$-3.34at 0.290Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$-3.43at 0.147Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-25 00:11 | Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $11.90 |
| 08-25 00:11 | Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $18.17 |
| 08-25 00:11 | Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $21.27 |
| 08-25 00:10 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.002 | $7.97 |
| 08-21 00:59 | Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $12.24 |
| 07-25 03:50 | Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.018 | $22.37 |
| 07-25 03:46 | Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.003 | $16.32 |
| 07-22 17:22 | Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.003 | $123.25 |
| 07-22 15:31 | Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.72 |
| 07-22 15:30 | Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.004 | $97.10 |
| 07-09 18:28 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.319 | $47.85 |
| 07-09 18:25 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.034 | $10.20 |
| 07-09 18:25 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.021 | $10.50 |
| 07-09 18:24 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.025 | $20.00 |
| 07-09 18:24 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.06 | $18.00 |