PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4A2d3bDd5fa5A5C499B45FF653407Eb8bE1Dd3A3-1774466939546

0xc5310f8bf609dd1f5c18c740aae0d3224a139bda

Realised P&L
$-861.52
Volume
$446.7k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$133.38

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0020.001$133.38$404.27
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.3220.000$0.00$209.04
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3190.000$0.00$47.85
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$40.00
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev · Jakub Mensik0.2200.000$0.00$30.00
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET · Up0.0430.000$0.00$21.34
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET · Up0.0170.000$0.00$6.00
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$18.00
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$10.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET · Down0.3000.000$0.00$6.00
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00$10.20
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$20.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-25 00:11Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.001$11.90
08-25 00:11Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.001$18.17
08-25 00:11Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.001$21.27
08-25 00:10Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.002$7.97
08-21 00:59Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.001$12.24
07-25 03:50Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.018$22.37
07-25 03:46Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.003$16.32
07-22 17:22Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.003$123.25
07-22 15:31Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.004$1.72
07-22 15:30Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.004$97.10
07-09 18:28Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.319$47.85
07-09 18:25Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.034$10.20
07-09 18:25Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.021$10.50
07-09 18:24Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.025$20.00
07-09 18:24Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.06$18.00