0xc52f0423f2a2427a337c16269ec83a6e008110c3
- Realised P&L
- $-101.32
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $10.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Token Sale on Coinbase by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.065 | $10.48 | −$39.51 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.82at 0.271US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$7.33at 0.464 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$5.06at 0.563Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
- +$3.42at 0.760Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
- +$1.89at 0.864Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-19 14:50 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | SELL | 0.87 | $4.88 |
| 06-19 14:49 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.367527788 | $19.97 |
| 06-19 14:48 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $14.06 |
| 06-19 14:47 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.3697206514 | $32.69 |
| 06-19 14:38 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4389999954 | $15.00 |
| 06-19 14:38 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.8369999939 | $10.00 |
| 06-19 14:20 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $15.00 |
| 06-19 10:19 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4608101419 | $25.00 |
| 06-19 10:19 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.83199997 | $20.00 |
| 06-18 23:21 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? | SELL | 0.8718391608 | $28.67 |
| 06-18 23:21 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? | SELL | 0.6919009009 | $30.72 |
| 06-18 21:22 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? | SELL | 0.6895648713 | $40.71 |
| 06-18 20:32 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | SELL | 0.6 | $32.33 |
| 06-17 19:44 | Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.008 | $9.71 |
| 06-17 18:17 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.6199999774 | $4.94 |