Beefonion
0xc529ee73f7671373351eb2bc810aa47b52774628
- Realised P&L
- $-59.55
- Volume
- $12.1k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $156.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.955 | $156.31 | +$56.47 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$155.63at 0.590US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
- +$120.37at 0.270US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?
- +$55.29at 0.760Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?
- +$54.72at 0.494US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
- +$46.30at 0.467Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 21:02 | Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election? | BUY | 0.6099999982 | $99.84 |
| 06-15 09:15 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0887866401 | $8.91 |
| 06-13 23:40 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | SELL | 0.28 | $30.43 |
| 06-13 22:36 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.4599999958 | $50.00 |
| 05-31 11:59 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3987982036 | $40.00 |
| 05-23 11:09 | Ebola case in the US by June 30? | SELL | 0.26 | $72.80 |
| 05-14 13:29 | Will "Billie Jean - Michael Jackson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 05-14 13:28 | Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? | SELL | 0.18 | $10.91 |
| 05-11 17:03 | US x China tariff agreement by May 31? | BUY | 0.4 | $30.00 |
| 05-11 14:02 | Will "Billie Jean - Michael Jackson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week? | BUY | 0.1099999685 | $3.00 |
| 05-08 12:07 | UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.1899999569 | $3.00 |
| 05-08 12:02 | Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? | BUY | 0.3299999922 | $20.00 |
| 05-03 00:58 | Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10? | SELL | 0.92 | $77.96 |
| 04-29 12:41 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL | 0.07 | $7.18 |
| 04-27 11:30 | Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10? | BUY | 0.5899999953 | $50.00 |