realjezza
0xc517fe4abf31de76a0757631e2b7a07398cc3491
- Realised P&L
- $-441.40
- Volume
- $11.1k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $27.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$287.05at 0.452Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
- +$282.85at 0.373Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
- +$172.87at 0.531Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
- +$47.02at 0.749Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
- +$40.91at 0.550US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-22 12:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | BUY | 0.1535412919 | $49.58 |
| 03-22 10:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET | BUY | 0.4499999955 | $48.47 |
| 03-22 09:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET | BUY | 0.2097902068 | $49.31 |
| 03-22 02:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5119092724 | $96.88 |
| 03-22 01:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET | SELL | 0.97 | $97.21 |
| 03-22 01:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET | BUY | 0.9977009877 | $100.00 |
| 03-22 01:37 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.33 | $71.74 |
| 03-21 12:15 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.182 | $106.47 |
| 02-05 17:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET | BUY | 0.3 | $343.85 |
| 02-05 16:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 02-05 16:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.2999999982 | $97.80 |
| 02-05 15:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.2911208151 | $97.87 |
| 02-05 14:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET | BUY | 0.3768050357 | $10.77 |
| 02-05 14:46 | Anthropic acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.1573987054 | $50.00 |
| 02-05 14:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |