0xC5162cBB26caF65d29840a4Ba7CE9996ABE48Aa6-1773736238238
0xc5162cbb26caf65d29840a4ba7ce9996abe48aa6
- Realised P&L
- $-140.00
- Volume
- $4.6k
- Markets traded
- 264
- Open portfolio
- $16.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded264
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026? · No | 0.437 | 0.425 | $12.75 | −$0.35 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026? · No | 0.692 | 0.880 | $4.00 | +$0.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.57at 0.190Gemini 4.0 released by October 23, 2026?
- +$12.38at 0.721Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
- +$8.00at 0.100Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
- +$8.00at 0.270Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher?
- +$7.60at 0.291Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 12:46 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of October 5 2026? | SELL | 0.69 | $13.80 |
| 10-08 10:40 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of October 5 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 10-08 05:56 | Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher? | SELL | 0.63 | $12.60 |
| 06-17 01:41 | XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET | SELL | 0.98 | $4.98 |
| 06-17 01:39 | XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5899999807 | $3.05 |
| 06-17 01:38 | XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET | SELL | 0.3 | $1.12 |
| 06-17 01:35 | XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET | BUY | 0.2799998309 | $1.06 |
| 06-17 01:02 | XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET | BUY | 0.72 | $2.79 |
| 06-17 00:56 | XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET | SELL | 0.45 | $2.04 |
| 06-17 00:52 | XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET | BUY | 0.8599999738 | $3.94 |
| 06-17 00:51 | XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET | SELL | 0.54 | $1.76 |
| 06-17 00:48 | XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET | BUY | 0.3799998673 | $1.26 |
| 06-17 00:41 | XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET | SELL | 0.59 | $2.26 |
| 06-17 00:40 | XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET | BUY | 0.7299999717 | $2.84 |
| 06-17 00:40 | XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET | SELL | 0.34 | $1.28 |