0xc5144b018bea368c8e3e6bd3318e644bcfa0d7b9
0xc5144b018bea368c8e3e6bd3318e644bcfa0d7b9
- Realised P&L
- $-9.02
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $73.78
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)21.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.241 | 0.495 | $71.78 | +$36.78 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.180 | 1.000 | $2.01 | +$1.65 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.00 |
| Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.107 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$71.36at 0.499Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
- +$45.24at 0.480Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$22.80at 0.690Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$-5.16at 0.093Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?
- +$-8.40at 0.105Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 06:10 | Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.1073003621 | $25.00 |
| 10-04 06:10 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.2199999987 | $35.00 |
| 10-04 06:04 | Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.2413793103 | $35.00 |
| 07-19 18:36 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.584 | $117.77 |
| 07-15 18:56 | Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0439999949 | $8.00 |
| 07-15 18:56 | Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina? | BUY | 0.05 | $8.00 |
| 07-15 18:55 | Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina? | BUY | 0.08 | $15.00 |
| 07-14 20:38 | Will France vs. Spain end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1 | $8.00 |
| 07-14 18:56 | Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain? | BUY | 0.16 | $20.00 |
| 07-11 20:59 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3274999795 | $10.00 |
| 07-11 20:59 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2174999894 | $15.00 |
| 07-07 17:33 | Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 16:27 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.4699999961 | $40.88 |
| 07-07 16:26 | Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.2399999856 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 16:26 | Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6899999987 | $60.00 |