0xc512e5859c4aec13b49d561e71b43960815b511e
0xc512e5859c4aec13b49d561e71b43960815b511e
- Realised P&L
- $-4.10
- Volume
- $234.61
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $6.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.430 | $1.95 | +$0.95 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · No | 0.600 | 0.998 | $1.66 | +$0.66 |
| Will Bank of America (BAC) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $1.5B? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.285 | $1.10 | +$0.10 |
| Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B? · No | 0.380 | 0.395 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.135 | $0.54 | −$0.46 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · No | 0.370 | 0.155 | $0.42 | −$0.58 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.37at 0.280US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$4.00at 0.349S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 17?
- +$3.51at 0.227SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1?
- +$2.61at 0.450Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $171 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$2.61at 0.450Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 02:27 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 18:13 | Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 10:12 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 21:13 | Will Bank of America (BAC) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $1.5B? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 04:39 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 18:01 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 09:58 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $775 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 01:53 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 17:46 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 09:06 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 01:05 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.69999972 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 15:12 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:40 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $58 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 15:17 | Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 05:38 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |