Pollacko
0xc505c8a8c35182c414f622e933c4459d3450a43b
- Realised P&L
- $-347.59
- Volume
- $33.8k
- Markets traded
- 119
- Open portfolio
- $0.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded119
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$342.33at 0.135Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$124.09at 0.661Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
- +$85.71at 0.647Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
- +$83.21at 0.436Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
- +$69.14at 0.327Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 08:50 | Iran full airspace closure by July 24? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 08:50 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | BUY | 0.2299999692 | $5.00 |
| 07-24 08:49 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24? | BUY | 0.0599999724 | $2.00 |
| 07-23 15:10 | Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.0347222222 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 15:04 | Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026? | BUY | 0.0815709737 | $3.00 |
| 06-14 21:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | BUY | 0.4699999932 | $25.00 |
| 06-14 20:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.0299999943 | $5.00 |
| 06-14 14:27 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | BUY | 0.0372548949 | $5.00 |
| 06-14 14:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $8.39 |
| 06-14 14:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $5.00 |
| 06-14 14:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | SELL | 0.5 | $31.23 |
| 06-14 14:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.7913239245 | $25.00 |
| 06-14 14:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.8099999955 | $25.00 |
| 06-14 14:22 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | BUY | 0.0374384939 | $10.00 |
| 06-14 14:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | BUY | 0.7399999674 | $5.00 |