TJYJETRTB
0xc4fa12e238a2585a76b3d8751eeba6b5a5981357
- Realised P&L
- $-171.75
- Volume
- $4.7k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $30.17
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.015 | $30.17 | −$157.08 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.089 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.56at 0.967Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$1.14at 0.994Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31?
- +$0.61at 0.992Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?
- +$0.21at 0.999Will Ethereum reach $3,800 November 17-23?
- +$0.00at 0.999Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-16 05:55 | Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999996 | $187.25 |
| 01-16 05:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January? | SELL | 0.995 | $187.26 |
| 01-04 05:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January? | BUY | 0.996 | $187.45 |
| 12-14 06:50 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31? | BUY | 0.9939269097 | $186.31 |
| 12-14 06:49 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0886088372 | $20.00 |
| 11-23 09:11 | Will Ethereum reach $3,800 November 17-23? | BUY | 0.9989999966 | $206.10 |
| 11-23 09:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025? | SELL | 0.984 | $206.10 |
| 10-31 11:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.967 | $202.54 |
| 10-31 09:31 | Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October? | SELL | 0.999 | $202.54 |
| 10-29 03:27 | Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October? | BUY | 0.9989999987 | $202.54 |
| 10-29 03:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October? | SELL | 0.995 | $202.54 |
| 10-28 13:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October? | BUY | 0.9919999969 | $201.94 |
| 10-28 13:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October? | SELL | 0.999 | $201.94 |
| 10-28 06:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $201.94 |