junui
0xc4f9b707d7325ba484cc2f149821bd5b62f23cd0
- Realised P&L
- $-47.59
- Volume
- $59.9k
- Markets traded
- 92
- Open portfolio
- $34.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded92
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 September 28-October 4? · No | 0.970 | 0.994 | $34.77 | +$0.82 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in January? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in February? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.60 |
| Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? · No | 0.997 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.48 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,800 in November? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.20 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5000 in September? · Yes | 0.115 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.64 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.85at 0.165Will Ethereum hit $3,750 by January 31, 2025?
- +$1.79at 0.944Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 August 31-September 6?
- +$1.60at 0.180Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?
- +$0.95at 0.944Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 August 17-23?
- +$0.70at 0.150Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by January 31, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 05:47 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.97 | $33.95 |
| 09-28 01:53 | Will Ethereum reach $2,750 on September 27? | BUY | 0.9909999998 | $34.00 |
| 09-28 01:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 21-27? | SELL | 0.999 | $33.97 |
| 09-25 02:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.981 | $33.35 |
| 09-23 14:46 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on September 23? | BUY | 0.993 | $32.77 |
| 09-19 11:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.99 | $32.67 |
| 09-17 02:29 | Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.989 | $32.64 |
| 09-14 03:34 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.992 | $31.74 |
| 09-14 01:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 7-13? | SELL | 0.999 | $31.97 |
| 09-12 01:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.988 | $31.62 |
| 09-01 05:03 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.94 | $30.08 |
| 08-29 02:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 29? | BUY | 0.991 | $29.73 |
| 08-25 15:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 25? | BUY | 0.994 | $16.90 |
| 08-18 10:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 August 17-23? | BUY | 0.94 | $15.95 |
| 08-17 03:41 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 17? | BUY | 0.988 | $15.81 |