smackdatgame
0xc4f925fe2799df3c53f552545ee1fb0a8d328d24
- Realised P&L
- $-180.18
- Volume
- $79.6k
- Markets traded
- 951
- Open portfolio
- $193.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded951
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$146.32at 0.260Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 22?
- +$135.16at 0.235Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on July 18?
- +$134.14at 0.270Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 19?
- +$107.04at 0.330Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 24?
- +$106.94at 0.130Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C or higher on April 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 16:17 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.33 | $10.23 |
| 08-04 15:23 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.37 | $11.10 |
| 08-04 12:33 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.34 | $8.50 |
| 08-04 12:00 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.46 | $17.94 |
| 08-04 11:54 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.3944084387 | $9.60 |
| 08-04 11:15 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.3 | $9.00 |
| 08-04 11:03 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.2975206398 | $8.40 |
| 08-04 09:59 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.69 | $4.14 |
| 08-04 07:44 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.48 | $14.88 |
| 08-04 07:40 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.47 | $0.39 |
| 08-04 07:40 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.47 | $5.17 |
| 08-04 07:40 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 08-04 07:40 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.48 | $3.36 |
| 08-04 07:40 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.52 | $0.09 |
| 08-04 07:40 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.52 | $2.60 |