smackdatgame
0xc4f925fe2799df3c53f552545ee1fb0a8d328d24
- Realised P&L
- $793.65
- Volume
- $152.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,652
- Open portfolio
- $301.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,652
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$289.21at 0.140Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 18?
- +$153.70at 0.208Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on August 29?
- +$144.41at 0.270Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 22?
- +$133.60at 0.244Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on July 18?
- +$132.31at 0.280Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 08:24 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.766999998 | $38.22 |
| 09-20 08:23 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.01 | $6.47 |
| 09-20 08:20 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.4839999796 | $9.31 |
| 09-20 08:07 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.0657022984 | $3.22 |
| 09-20 08:07 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.0559999999 | $5.76 |
| 09-20 08:06 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.54 | $5.94 |
| 09-20 07:21 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.45 | $5.85 |
| 09-20 07:06 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.3103265558 | $15.11 |
| 09-20 07:05 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.89 | $14.24 |
| 09-20 06:53 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.06 | $2.04 |
| 09-20 06:53 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.06 | $3.90 |
| 09-20 06:53 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.0589062 | $9.42 |
| 09-20 06:26 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.4189830508 | $24.72 |
| 09-20 06:26 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.4055245859 | $15.42 |
| 09-20 06:25 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.4984086752 | $19.07 |