pauleta231
0xc4f8e82597b2886849a39b55a9c60f64977b7333
- Realised P&L
- $-936.63
- Volume
- $84.6k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $64.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$109.18at 0.671Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
- +$94.67at 0.311MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?
- +$35.49at 0.100US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
- +$11.02at 0.601SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?
- +$6.49at 0.351Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs UNiTY esports - Map 2 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 18:27 | Will Djurgardens IF win on 2026-10-16? | BUY | 0.7699999383 | $4.99 |
| 10-16 18:27 | LoL: MVK Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.739999917 | $4.99 |
| 10-16 18:18 | Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Sangal - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.7899999873 | $4.99 |
| 10-16 18:12 | Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-10-16? | BUY | 0.7899999873 | $4.99 |
| 10-16 18:11 | Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-10-16? | BUY | 0.7799999875 | $4.99 |
| 10-16 17:56 | Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Mena Warriors - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 10-16 17:33 | Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Mena Warriors - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $2.50 |
| 10-16 17:32 | Dota 2: Korb3n Team vs Stariy bog Team - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.4799999692 | $4.99 |
| 10-16 17:22 | Will AC Horsens win on 2026-10-16? | BUY | 0.5899999598 | $4.99 |
| 10-16 17:12 | Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs Los Niños - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.3699999859 | $4.99 |
| 10-16 16:48 | Will Atlético CP win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.299999988 | $4.99 |
| 10-16 16:09 | Counter-Strike: BBL vs EYEBALLERS - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.1399999966 | $4.99 |
| 10-16 16:03 | Will AL Wakrah SC win on 2026-10-16? | BUY | 0.9299998956 | $4.99 |
| 10-16 15:55 | Roanne: Felix Balshaw vs Mika Brunold | BUY | 0.19 | $0.01 |
| 10-16 15:38 | Will AL Wakrah SC win on 2026-10-16? | BUY | 0.6799999836 | $4.99 |