0xc4f705d32d1f5fa8f601248f564f5445f29fe06b
0xc4f705d32d1f5fa8f601248f564f5445f29fe06b
- Realised P&L
- $-75.76
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $36.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19? · Up | 0.480 | 0.885 | $36.88 | +$16.88 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET · Up | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET · Up | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET · Down | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.64 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.67at 0.230Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
- +$8.23at 0.273Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
- +$7.41at 0.422Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
- +$4.63at 0.537Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
- +$3.70at 0.537Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 16:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19? | BUY | 0.4799999962 | $20.00 |
| 10-18 16:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $2.00 |
| 10-18 16:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.011 | $0.64 |
| 10-18 16:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET | BUY | 0.4399999754 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 16:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 16:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 10-16 03:31 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 16? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $10.00 |
| 10-16 03:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 16? | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $20.00 |
| 09-30 04:26 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET | BUY | 0.6899999345 | $2.00 |
| 09-01 17:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $2.00 |
| 09-01 17:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 09-01 17:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 09-01 17:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $4.49 |
| 09-01 17:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | BUY | 0.4399999296 | $2.00 |
| 08-25 21:24 | Solana Up or Down on August 26? | BUY | 0.2899999846 | $10.00 |