windyefngxghh
0xc4da501d228ed5260bdfaee428f57a4d9aea5fa1
- Realised P&L
- $-413.13
- Volume
- $21.5k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $416.20
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration36.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.595 | $238.00 | −$18.00 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.068 | 0.337 | $77.25 | +$61.61 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.505 | $50.50 | +$28.50 |
| OKX IPO in 2026? · Yes | 0.114 | 0.085 | $38.68 | −$13.11 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.000 | 0.655 | $8.06 | +$8.06 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.415 | $3.72 | +$2.56 |
| Will the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1480? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.03 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$76.00at 0.240US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
- +$70.00at 0.500US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$28.00at 0.530Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?
- +$16.37at 0.765DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?
- +$13.60at 0.610Will DeepSeek V4 be released on or prior to April 24, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-02 12:21 | Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.64 | $64.00 |
| 06-02 11:59 | Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.64 | $64.00 |
| 06-02 11:50 | Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.64 | $128.00 |
| 05-11 01:50 | Will Trump visit China by May 31? | BUY | 0.99 | $198.00 |
| 04-24 05:23 | Will the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1460? | SELL | 0.0206313763 | $57.56 |
| 04-24 03:49 | Will the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1480? | BUY | 0.0200829537 | $1.95 |
| 04-24 03:48 | Will the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1460? | BUY | 0.1380773228 | $283.24 |
| 04-24 03:47 | DeepSeek V4 released by April 24? | BUY | 0.77 | $15.40 |
| 04-24 03:42 | DeepSeek V4 released by April 24? | BUY | 0.813148 | $81.31 |
| 04-24 03:27 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $33.64 |
| 04-24 03:25 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.180467 | $33.73 |
| 04-09 10:14 | Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.24 | $24.00 |
| 03-04 08:28 | Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.00 |
| 03-04 08:27 | Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0790381583 | $30.00 |
| 03-04 08:27 | Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2699999983 | $100.00 |