PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

windyefngxghh

0xc4da501d228ed5260bdfaee428f57a4d9aea5fa1

Realised P&L
$-413.13
Volume
$21.5k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$416.20

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration36.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes0.6400.595$238.00$18.00
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.0680.337$77.25+$61.61
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.2200.505$50.50+$28.50
OKX IPO in 2026? · Yes0.1140.085$38.68$13.11
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.0000.655$8.06+$8.06
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? · Yes0.1300.415$3.72+$2.56
Will the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1480? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$2.03
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$49.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-02 12:21Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?BUY0.64$64.00
06-02 11:59Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?BUY0.64$64.00
06-02 11:50Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?BUY0.64$128.00
05-11 01:50Will Trump visit China by May 31?BUY0.99$198.00
04-24 05:23Will the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1460?SELL0.0206313763$57.56
04-24 03:49Will the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1480?BUY0.0200829537$1.95
04-24 03:48Will the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1460?BUY0.1380773228$283.24
04-24 03:47DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?BUY0.77$15.40
04-24 03:42DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?BUY0.813148$81.31
04-24 03:27Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?BUY0.18$33.64
04-24 03:25Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?BUY0.180467$33.73
04-09 10:14Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.24$24.00
03-04 08:28Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.08$4.00
03-04 08:27Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.0790381583$30.00
03-04 08:27Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?BUY0.2699999983$100.00