PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

MZorz

0xc4cf266850ddcfca71d640ada38be7a7f99c39fe

Realised P&L
$-29.49
Volume
$378.6k
Markets traded
116
Open portfolio
$41.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded116
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3140.360$18.02+$2.33
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0360.021$10.75$7.25
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0100.003$7.50$22.50
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0090.001$5.00$84.38
Trump approval Up or Down this week? · Down0.0730.000$0.00$11.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 01:11Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.003$12.00
08-05 01:11Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.007$6.61
08-05 01:11Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.002$2.90
08-05 01:11Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.004$4.00
06-05 06:52FDA approves Arcalyst technology transfer?SELL0.15$0.29
06-05 06:20Will USD be at least 2.0M Iranian rials on June 30?SELL0.1$2.80
06-05 06:18Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?SELL0.98$29.40
06-05 04:58Trump approval Up or Down this week?BUY0.97$19.40
06-03 09:49Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.007$14.00
06-03 09:46Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.009$9.00
06-03 09:46Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.009$13.50
06-03 09:45Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.007$21.00
06-03 09:44Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.008$11.60
05-26 06:36Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.001$4.00
05-07 01:13Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.008$24.00