MZorz
0xc4cf266850ddcfca71d640ada38be7a7f99c39fe
- Realised P&L
- $44.86
- Volume
- $371.2k
- Markets traded
- 116
- Open portfolio
- $141.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded116
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.005 | $55.00 | −$34.38 |
| Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.007 | $22.50 | −$7.50 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.034 | $16.75 | −$1.25 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.314 | 0.304 | $15.22 | −$0.47 |
| Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.004 | $14.00 | −$26.22 |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.009 | $8.03 | −$4.25 |
| Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.006 | $6.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.003 | $3.62 | −$13.77 |
| Trump approval Up or Down this week? · Down | 0.073 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.45at 0.480Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
- +$33.47at 0.460Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
- +$26.37at 0.011Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$24.63at 0.470Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
- +$18.55at 0.890Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-05 06:52 | FDA approves Arcalyst technology transfer? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.29 |
| 06-05 06:20 | Will USD be at least 2.0M Iranian rials on June 30? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.80 |
| 06-05 06:18 | Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election? | SELL | 0.98 | $29.40 |
| 06-05 04:58 | Trump approval Up or Down this week? | BUY | 0.97 | $19.40 |
| 06-03 09:49 | Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.007 | $14.00 |
| 06-03 09:46 | Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.009 | $9.00 |
| 06-03 09:46 | Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.009 | $13.50 |
| 06-03 09:45 | Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.007 | $21.00 |
| 06-03 09:44 | Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.008 | $11.60 |
| 05-26 06:36 | Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.001 | $4.00 |
| 05-07 01:13 | Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.008 | $24.00 |
| 04-26 12:58 | Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.009 | $9.00 |
| 04-21 00:38 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.011 | $1.80 |
| 04-18 01:39 | Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.011 | $5.50 |
| 04-14 03:55 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.016 | $4.00 |