MZorz
0xc4cf266850ddcfca71d640ada38be7a7f99c39fe
- Realised P&L
- $-29.49
- Volume
- $378.6k
- Markets traded
- 116
- Open portfolio
- $41.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded116
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.314 | 0.360 | $18.02 | +$2.33 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.021 | $10.75 | −$7.25 |
| Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.003 | $7.50 | −$22.50 |
| Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.001 | $5.00 | −$84.38 |
| Trump approval Up or Down this week? · Down | 0.073 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$105.70at 0.741Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
- +$100.54at 0.700Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
- +$83.70at 0.732Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
- +$72.81at 0.516Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
- +$71.57at 0.505Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 01:11 | Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.003 | $12.00 |
| 08-05 01:11 | Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.007 | $6.61 |
| 08-05 01:11 | Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.002 | $2.90 |
| 08-05 01:11 | Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.004 | $4.00 |
| 06-05 06:52 | FDA approves Arcalyst technology transfer? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.29 |
| 06-05 06:20 | Will USD be at least 2.0M Iranian rials on June 30? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.80 |
| 06-05 06:18 | Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election? | SELL | 0.98 | $29.40 |
| 06-05 04:58 | Trump approval Up or Down this week? | BUY | 0.97 | $19.40 |
| 06-03 09:49 | Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.007 | $14.00 |
| 06-03 09:46 | Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.009 | $9.00 |
| 06-03 09:46 | Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.009 | $13.50 |
| 06-03 09:45 | Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.007 | $21.00 |
| 06-03 09:44 | Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.008 | $11.60 |
| 05-26 06:36 | Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.001 | $4.00 |
| 05-07 01:13 | Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.008 | $24.00 |