0xc4ccc54e6db1da217da5e8f64f6fe3c69cb34b48
0xc4ccc54e6db1da217da5e8f64f6fe3c69cb34b48
- Realised P&L
- $-2.06
- Volume
- $151.29
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $3.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 23? · No | 0.490 | 0.505 | $1.61 | +$0.05 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.750 | 0.495 | $1.03 | −$0.53 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? · No | 0.200 | 0.033 | $0.26 | −$1.30 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No | 0.370 | 0.037 | $0.16 | −$1.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.63at 0.258Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$3.97at 0.288Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?
- +$3.74at 0.300Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?
- +$2.30at 0.410SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10?
- +$2.12at 0.430Will Trump say "China" or "Chinese" during remarks at NASA?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 22:26 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999718 | $1.56 |
| 09-20 22:26 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.56 |
| 09-20 02:19 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.56 |
| 09-19 05:49 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.3699999312 | $1.56 |
| 09-18 03:23 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.56 |
| 09-17 19:06 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 23? | BUY | 0.4899999183 | $1.56 |
| 09-17 10:39 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on September 17? | BUY | 0.5099999604 | $1.03 |
| 09-17 00:08 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.7299999766 | $1.56 |
| 09-16 15:57 | Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.7299999766 | $1.56 |
| 09-16 07:57 | Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.5299998607 | $1.56 |
| 09-15 23:56 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.2799999785 | $1.56 |
| 09-13 21:02 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $192 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.469999991 | $1.56 |
| 09-11 06:49 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999896 | $1.56 |
| 09-10 22:35 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $164 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999688 | $1.56 |
| 09-10 01:51 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.56 |