0xc4CB893abc84d6b7D050E1E68aFbcb8b976E0E7E-1775032786562
0xc4cb893abc84d6b7d050e1e68afbcb8b976e0e7e
- Realised P&L
- $-75.04
- Volume
- $5.0k
- Markets traded
- 112
- Open portfolio
- $12.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded112
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$111.08at 0.095Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?
- +$91.30at 0.189Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?
- +$81.11at 0.376Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
- +$55.16at 0.540Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?
- +$36.05at 0.445Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 07:21 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.019 | $0.15 |
| 09-18 07:06 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 04:37 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.70 |
| 09-18 03:37 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.39 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 02:37 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 00:22 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 16:38 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.38 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 13:08 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.13 | $0.65 |
| 09-17 08:37 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 08:07 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 07:06 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.08 | $0.80 |
| 09-17 04:07 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.3 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 01:07 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.18 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 00:22 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.33 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 13:08 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |