PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xc4CB893abc84d6b7D050E1E68aFbcb8b976E0E7E-1775032786562

0xc4cb893abc84d6b7d050e1e68afbcb8b976e0e7e

Realised P&L
$-75.04
Volume
$5.0k
Markets traded
112
Open portfolio
$12.32

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded112
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 18? · Yes0.3901.000$5.12+$3.12
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 18? · Yes0.4001.000$5.00+$3.00
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on September 18? · Yes0.2200.240$2.18+$0.18
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on September 18? · Yes0.0190.002$0.02$0.14
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 18? · Yes0.1700.001$0.01$1.70
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 18? · Yes0.1000.001$0.01$0.99
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 15? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 16? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00$2.00
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on September 4? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 15? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on September 15? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 15? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$1.82
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026? · Yes0.0640.000$0.00$1.01
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 14? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$0.14
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 6? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 07:21Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on September 18?BUY0.019$0.15
09-18 07:06Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on September 18?BUY0.22$2.00
09-18 04:37Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 18?BUY0.17$1.70
09-18 03:37Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 18?BUY0.39$2.00
09-18 02:37Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 18?BUY0.4$2.00
09-18 00:22Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 18?BUY0.1$1.00
09-17 16:38Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 17?BUY0.38$2.00
09-17 13:08Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 17?BUY0.13$0.65
09-17 08:37Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 17?BUY0.25$2.00
09-17 08:07Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 17?BUY0.05$2.00
09-17 07:06Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on September 17?BUY0.08$0.80
09-17 04:07Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17?BUY0.3$2.00
09-17 01:07Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 17?BUY0.18$2.00
09-17 00:22Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 17?BUY0.33$2.00
09-16 13:08Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 16?BUY0.25$2.00