bigbadgiannis
0xc4c8ba00c73713e5371e5178066e3f55c0c2fed1
- Realised P&L
- $-19.7k
- Volume
- $2.58M
- Markets traded
- 173
- Open portfolio
- $497.24
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded173
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KHL: Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk vs. Avangard Omsk · Avangard Omsk | 0.550 | 1.000 | $190.99 | +$85.94 |
| New Zealand Women Tour of Australia T20s: Australia Women vs New Zealand Women · Australia Women | 0.890 | 1.000 | $99.95 | +$10.95 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.960 | 0.878 | $87.80 | −$8.20 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? · Yes | 0.987 | 1.000 | $75.00 | +$0.97 |
| Mavericks vs. Rockets · Mavericks | 0.240 | 0.235 | $23.50 | −$0.50 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7? · Yes | 0.998 | 1.000 | $20.00 | +$0.04 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$810.00 |
| Will the match end in a draw? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.8k |
| Nets vs. Mavericks · Nets | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 49°F or higher on November 27? · Yes | 0.752 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$60.5kat 0.204Kings vs. Bucks
- +$43.4kat 0.296Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers
- +$31.2kat 0.280Celtics vs. Cavaliers
- +$19.5kat 0.390Magic vs. Hawks
- +$19.4kat 0.353Raptors vs. Cavaliers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 12:38 | New Zealand Women Tour of Australia T20s: Australia Women vs New Zealand Women | BUY | 0.89 | $89.00 |
| 10-15 05:45 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | BUY | 0.987 | $19.74 |
| 10-12 05:41 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $96.00 |
| 10-08 13:05 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7? | BUY | 0.998 | $19.96 |
| 10-08 13:05 | KHL: Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk vs. Avangard Omsk | BUY | 0.55 | $60.50 |
| 12-27 06:31 | World Test Championship: Australia vs England (Game 4) - Match goes to Day 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $979.02 |
| 12-10 23:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on December 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $76.24 |
| 12-10 23:25 | Suns vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.12 | $600.00 |
| 12-10 23:24 | Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | BUY | 0.997 | $10.0k |
| 12-10 14:00 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on December 10? | BUY | 0.9888879023 | $178.20 |
| 12-10 13:59 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.7k |
| 12-10 13:59 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on December 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $381.59 |
| 12-10 13:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.3k |
| 12-10 13:57 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.996 | $5.0k |
| 12-10 13:57 | Will Jerome Powell be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | BUY | 0.995 | $5.0k |