CARBEACH
0xc4c8983df5c71c6e7329e1a78ccbdde7ca10cabb
- Realised P&L
- $-69.6k
- Volume
- $1.93M
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $35.58
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yes | 0.282 | 0.001 | $35.58 | −$20.1k |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.7k |
| Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.8k |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? · Yes | 0.097 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.0k |
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T? · Yes | 0.146 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$999.99 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? · Yes | 0.081 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.0k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.1kat 0.106Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$3.5kat 0.016Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$12.02at 0.806Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
- +$-25.6kat 0.145Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 23:31 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.145 | $509.07 |
| 07-06 23:30 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.1461196668 | $3.7k |
| 07-06 23:29 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.1487389763 | $2.6k |
| 07-06 23:04 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.1514661969 | $7.1k |
| 07-02 21:04 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | BUY | 0.07 | $3.0k |
| 07-02 14:32 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.3095356944 | $100.00 |
| 07-02 14:27 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | BUY | 0.1023673356 | $1.5k |
| 07-02 14:26 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | BUY | 0.0821994941 | $5.0k |
| 07-02 14:24 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.29 | $7.7k |
| 07-02 14:24 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.2777158158 | $12.3k |
| 06-30 08:01 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.0389757406 | $6.0k |
| 06-25 22:10 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.0283765539 | $4.6k |
| 06-25 22:10 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.0413099539 | $2.7k |
| 06-25 22:08 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0162530302 | $2.5k |
| 06-25 22:07 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.106 | $10.0k |