CARBEACH
0xc4c8983df5c71c6e7329e1a78ccbdde7ca10cabb
- Realised P&L
- $-209.8k
- Volume
- $2.61M
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $48.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.3kat 0.109Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$3.2kat 0.017Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$12.02at 0.806Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
- +$-25.6kat 0.145Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 14:54 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $2.8k |
| 09-29 14:51 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3014564991 | $6.5k |
| 09-29 14:51 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3796648902 | $503.89 |
| 09-28 12:21 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3982725573 | $425.95 |
| 09-28 12:16 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $16.00 |
| 09-28 12:15 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3704819275 | $300.00 |
| 09-28 12:15 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4147950327 | $5.0k |
| 09-28 12:14 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3349288256 | $2.5k |
| 09-28 07:53 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2873559365 | $5.0k |
| 09-24 10:51 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0885426935 | $1000.00 |
| 09-24 10:49 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3127928638 | $6.0k |
| 09-24 10:49 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3729660514 | $4.0k |
| 09-24 07:42 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3296776043 | $5.0k |
| 09-19 07:47 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3394972379 | $12.7k |
| 09-19 07:47 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999996 | $256.41 |