PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

CARBEACH

0xc4c8983df5c71c6e7329e1a78ccbdde7ca10cabb

Realised P&L
$-209.8k
Volume
$2.61M
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$48.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration56.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.3380.205$48.7k−$31.5k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yes0.2820.000$0.00−$20.1k
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00−$1.7k
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.3480.000$0.00−$55.9k
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$2.8k
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? · Yes0.0970.000$0.00−$6.0k
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$999.99
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026? · Yes0.2480.000$0.00−$3.0k
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T? · Yes0.1460.000$0.00−$999.99
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$100.00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026? · Yes0.2440.000$0.00−$4.9k
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2970.000$0.00−$73.5k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? · Yes0.0810.000$0.00−$10.0k
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? · Yes0.2860.000$0.00−$1000.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 14:54US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.33$2.8k
09-29 14:51US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.3014564991$6.5k
09-29 14:51US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.3796648902$503.89
09-28 12:21US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.3982725573$425.95
09-28 12:16US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.4$16.00
09-28 12:15US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.3704819275$300.00
09-28 12:15US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.4147950327$5.0k
09-28 12:14US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.3349288256$2.5k
09-28 07:53US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.2873559365$5.0k
09-24 10:51US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0885426935$1000.00
09-24 10:49US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.3127928638$6.0k
09-24 10:49US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.3729660514$4.0k
09-24 07:42US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.3296776043$5.0k
09-19 07:47US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.3394972379$12.7k
09-19 07:47US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.3599999996$256.41