PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

CARBEACH

0xc4c8983df5c71c6e7329e1a78ccbdde7ca10cabb

Realised P&L
$-69.6k
Volume
$1.93M
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$35.58

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration59.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yes0.2820.001$35.58$20.1k
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00$1.7k
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$2.8k
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? · Yes0.0970.000$0.00$6.0k
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$1000.00
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T? · Yes0.1460.000$0.00$999.99
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$100.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? · Yes0.0810.000$0.00$10.0k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-06 23:31Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.145$509.07
07-06 23:30Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.1461196668$3.7k
07-06 23:29Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.1487389763$2.6k
07-06 23:04Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.1514661969$7.1k
07-02 21:04Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?BUY0.07$3.0k
07-02 14:32Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.3095356944$100.00
07-02 14:27Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?BUY0.1023673356$1.5k
07-02 14:26Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?BUY0.0821994941$5.0k
07-02 14:24Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.29$7.7k
07-02 14:24Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.2777158158$12.3k
06-30 08:01Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.0389757406$6.0k
06-25 22:10Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.0283765539$4.6k
06-25 22:10Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.0413099539$2.7k
06-25 22:08Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0162530302$2.5k
06-25 22:07Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.106$10.0k