0xC4c62732C4c13DFCcFd510B22964338Ca05873A7-1772427862488
0xc4c62732c4c13dfccfd510b22964338ca05873a7
- Realised P&L
- $-8.4k
- Volume
- $910.0k
- Markets traded
- 100
- Open portfolio
- $5.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded100
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.195 | $5.8k | −$4.0k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$397.67at 0.150US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
- +$76.61at 0.224Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$40.74at 0.080US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
- +$37.50at 0.051Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$28.56at 0.943Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 04:11 | Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.87 | $8.7k |
| 09-17 02:35 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.6099689 | $3.0k |
| 08-30 01:57 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SELL | 0.12 | $520.29 |
| 08-26 00:25 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | SELL | 0.87 | $5.2k |
| 08-24 08:44 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.2859656611 | $119.25 |
| 08-23 14:19 | No one announced as next James Bond? | SELL | 0.215 | $2.1k |
| 08-16 10:35 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $19.71 |
| 08-16 03:33 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | SELL | 0.7726531667 | $2.3k |
| 07-28 13:52 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.229 | $0.08 |
| 07-28 03:36 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.277 | $138.50 |
| 07-28 03:26 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.2741173242 | $2.9k |
| 07-27 11:58 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | SELL | 0.0443815688 | $140.42 |
| 07-20 03:25 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | SELL | 0.460268977 | $848.17 |
| 07-12 15:19 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $2.0k |
| 07-07 00:44 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.59 | $3.0k |