PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xC4c1836bca6Cae9d7A46Ef5DD9D21F0891ff2Dd3-1766082098054

0xc4c1836bca6cae9d7a46ef5dd9d21f0891ff2dd3

Realised P&L
$-1.0k
Volume
$133.3k
Markets traded
43
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded43
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)53.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.4000.345$919.42$146.57
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.6150.695$406.62+$46.62
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title? · No0.4500.525$131.25+$18.75
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0150.011$81.32$26.67
Will Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2026 NFC South? · Yes0.3000.355$76.10+$11.79
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? · No0.1290.095$66.50$23.50
Will Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? · Yes0.0370.026$39.89$15.80
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.2500.021$9.39$105.15
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1140.000$0.00$180.00
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? · No0.3800.000$0.00$68.40
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0910.000$0.00$180.00
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$180.00
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00$9.00
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$2.16
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets · New York Mets0.3200.000$0.00$120.67

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 02:52Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?BUY0.128577504$90.00
07-12 15:01Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?BUY0.02$0.02
07-10 14:19Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?BUY0.38$68.40
07-05 19:31Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.018$140.87
06-15 02:09Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.004$2.16
06-04 04:29Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.4$180.00
06-04 04:28Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.4$540.00
06-04 04:27Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.4$346.00
06-04 04:18Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.0139999996$36.00
05-28 21:58Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?SELL0.1055833776$81.44
05-28 03:08Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)BUY0.52$28.60
05-26 23:42Cincinnati Reds vs. New York MetsBUY0.3183039236$30.67
05-26 23:30Cincinnati Reds vs. New York MetsBUY0.32$90.00
05-26 02:21Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 207.5BUY0.9032$22.58
05-26 02:06Spread: Knicks (-1.5)BUY0.994$8.06