0xC4c1836bca6Cae9d7A46Ef5DD9D21F0891ff2Dd3-1766082098054
0xc4c1836bca6cae9d7a46ef5dd9d21f0891ff2dd3
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $133.3k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$288.38at 0.686Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils
- +$173.95at 0.510Spread: San Francisco Dons (-5.5)
- +$166.15at 0.520Patriots vs. Broncos
- +$153.33at 0.540Arizona Wildcats vs. BYU Cougars
- +$96.09at 0.520Spread: Monmouth Hawks (-5.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 02:52 | Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? | BUY | 0.128577504 | $90.00 |
| 07-12 15:01 | Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.02 |
| 07-10 14:19 | Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | BUY | 0.38 | $68.40 |
| 07-05 19:31 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.018 | $140.87 |
| 06-15 02:09 | Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.004 | $2.16 |
| 06-04 04:29 | Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.4 | $180.00 |
| 06-04 04:28 | Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.4 | $540.00 |
| 06-04 04:27 | Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.4 | $346.00 |
| 06-04 04:18 | Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0139999996 | $36.00 |
| 05-28 21:58 | Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open? | SELL | 0.1055833776 | $81.44 |
| 05-28 03:08 | Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $28.60 |
| 05-26 23:42 | Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.3183039236 | $30.67 |
| 05-26 23:30 | Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.32 | $90.00 |
| 05-26 02:21 | Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 207.5 | BUY | 0.9032 | $22.58 |
| 05-26 02:06 | Spread: Knicks (-1.5) | BUY | 0.994 | $8.06 |