PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xC4c1836bca6Cae9d7A46Ef5DD9D21F0891ff2Dd3-1766082098054

0xc4c1836bca6cae9d7a46ef5dd9d21f0891ff2dd3

Realised P&L
$-2.1k
Volume
$137.7k
Markets traded
47
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded47
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.4000.345$919.42−$146.57
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.6150.650$380.29+$20.29
Will Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2026 NFC South? · Yes0.3000.315$113.40+$5.40
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? · No0.1290.114$79.80−$10.20
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0150.006$45.96−$62.03
Will Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? · Yes0.0370.014$21.07−$34.62
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.2500.001$0.23−$114.31
Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$18.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1140.000$0.00−$180.00
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00−$36.00
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays · New York Yankees0.5300.000$0.00−$360.00
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? · No0.3800.000$0.00−$68.40
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians · Cleveland Guardians0.5900.000$0.00−$180.00
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0910.000$0.00−$180.00
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00−$180.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 23:38Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?BUY0.6$180.00
10-11 23:32Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?BUY0.6$360.00
10-06 00:03New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay RaysBUY0.5299999993$360.00
10-05 20:06Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland GuardiansBUY0.5899999995$180.00
09-30 21:09Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.0186910423$36.00
09-17 02:52Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?BUY0.128577504$90.00
07-12 15:01Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?BUY0.02$0.02
07-10 14:19Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?BUY0.38$68.40
07-05 19:31Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.018$140.87
06-15 02:09Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.004$2.16
06-04 04:29Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.4$180.00
06-04 04:28Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.4$540.00
06-04 04:27Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.4$346.00
06-04 04:18Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.0139999996$36.00
05-28 21:58Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?SELL0.1055833776$81.44