RoastBeast
0xc4c0a8bd5a0d1162d98834525856e52a73b8e46f
- Realised P&L
- $-101.58
- Volume
- $22.0k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $49.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? · Yes | 0.222 | 0.085 | $49.88 | −$80.31 |
| NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Trail Blazers · Blazers | 0.375 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$39.18 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$132.36at 0.367Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
- +$94.20at 0.430US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
- +$65.88at 0.499US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?
- +$58.62at 0.621US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$43.09at 0.668Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-13 18:22 | Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999979 | $65.19 |
| 04-29 16:03 | Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | BUY | 0.3789391813 | $45.00 |
| 04-29 07:23 | Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April? | SELL | 0.1811678445 | $41.02 |
| 04-29 05:28 | Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | BUY | 0.2363343636 | $20.00 |
| 04-29 05:25 | Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April? | BUY | 0.2650246554 | $60.00 |
| 04-29 05:24 | Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | SELL | 0.1956762881 | $88.94 |
| 04-29 02:54 | Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999985 | $100.00 |
| 04-29 02:54 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $98.65 |
| 04-28 17:57 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999957 | $50.00 |
| 04-28 15:47 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999977 | $50.00 |
| 04-28 15:42 | Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April? | SELL | 0.2483445085 | $39.19 |
| 04-28 14:08 | Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April? | BUY | 0.3168635755 | $50.00 |
| 04-28 13:42 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.968 | $121.77 |
| 04-27 16:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $0.88 |
| 04-27 16:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | BUY | 0.55 | $0.94 |