mircobiom
0xc4c05ddf96698db75b6aecd9f489dc0e4162f6ac
- Realised P&L
- $-29.24
- Volume
- $3.0k
- Markets traded
- 127
- Open portfolio
- $93.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded127
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.82at 0.156Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
- +$12.72at 0.467Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?
- +$11.01at 0.788Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?
- +$9.38at 0.713Will New Zealand win?
- +$9.00at 0.391Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 20:22 | Will the Phoenix Mercury make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.9177878607 | $14.77 |
| 08-08 14:34 | Will Matt Klein be the Democratic nominee for MN-02? | SELL | 0.81 | $2.43 |
| 08-08 14:34 | Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02? | SELL | 0.81 | $34.22 |
| 08-06 09:32 | Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | SELL | 0.3905951307 | $4.33 |
| 08-05 18:48 | Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.099 | $1.09 |
| 08-05 12:23 | Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass? | BUY | 0.7 | $10.54 |
| 08-05 08:49 | Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.145 | $1.59 |
| 08-05 07:50 | Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | SELL | 0.79 | $12.06 |
| 08-05 00:25 | Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999761 | $3.42 |
| 08-05 00:25 | Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999761 | $3.42 |
| 08-04 15:44 | Will Travis Kelce retire before next season? | BUY | 0.96 | $16.20 |
| 08-03 23:46 | Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02? | BUY | 0.7699999564 | $9.18 |
| 08-03 23:46 | Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02? | BUY | 0.7699999934 | $11.68 |
| 08-03 23:46 | Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02? | BUY | 0.7699999934 | $11.68 |
| 08-03 15:38 | Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | BUY | 0.7099999915 | $10.84 |