0xdF4D7E570fF2F3b26bF8eBf7751C7f87610EaE18-1774650587057
0xc4a994b0701cc7add1a3087f9e71a6fc671ccba6
- Realised P&L
- $219.09
- Volume
- $6.9k
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $33.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)65.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$217.12at 0.176Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?
- +$21.54at 0.702Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?
- +$20.98at 0.706Eagles vs. Commanders
- +$14.41at 0.596US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
- +$11.41at 0.710Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 11:47 | Will FK Epitsentr Dunaivtsi win on 2026-11-02? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 11-02 11:47 | Will FK Epitsentr Dunaivtsi win on 2026-11-02? | BUY | 0.149999997 | $5.00 |
| 11-02 00:23 | Eagles vs. Commanders | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |
| 11-02 00:23 | Eagles vs. Commanders | BUY | 0.699999993 | $20.00 |
| 11-02 00:23 | Eagles vs. Commanders | BUY | 0.699999993 | $20.00 |
| 09-24 12:40 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0389999995 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 06:41 | Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 06:41 | Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 14:53 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 14:44 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.0394418972 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 23:15 | Will there be no next Claude Opus model release by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $1.04 |
| 09-19 23:14 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 20, 2026? | SELL | 0.97 | $104.43 |
| 09-19 23:14 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? | SELL | 0.39 | $5.72 |
| 09-19 23:02 | Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 23:02 | Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |