PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xdF4D7E570fF2F3b26bF8eBf7751C7f87610EaE18-1774650587057

0xc4a994b0701cc7add1a3087f9e71a6fc671ccba6

Realised P&L
$219.09
Volume
$6.9k
Markets traded
75
Open portfolio
$33.49

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded75
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration59.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample43 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)65.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration97.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will FK Epitsentr Dunaivtsi win on 2026-11-02? · Yes0.1550.505$32.61+$22.61
Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026? · Yes0.0520.045$0.88−$0.12
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? · No0.4280.002$0.00−$1.00
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026? · No0.2100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$1.00
Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in July 2026? · No0.6500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00−$1.00
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$1.00
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$1.00
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00−$1.00
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00−$1.00
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina? · Yes0.2440.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET · Up0.3300.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 11:47Will FK Epitsentr Dunaivtsi win on 2026-11-02?BUY0.16$5.00
11-02 11:47Will FK Epitsentr Dunaivtsi win on 2026-11-02?BUY0.149999997$5.00
11-02 00:23Eagles vs. CommandersBUY0.699999993$10.00
11-02 00:23Eagles vs. CommandersBUY0.699999993$20.00
11-02 00:23Eagles vs. CommandersBUY0.699999993$20.00
09-24 12:40Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0389999995$1.00
09-23 06:41Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.7599999088$1.00
09-23 06:41Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.8699999913$1.00
09-21 14:53Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?BUY0.04$1.00
09-21 14:44Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?BUY0.0394418972$1.00
09-19 23:15Will there be no next Claude Opus model release by September 30, 2026?SELL0.23$1.04
09-19 23:14Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 20, 2026?SELL0.97$104.43
09-19 23:14Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?SELL0.39$5.72
09-19 23:02Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0699999965$1.00
09-19 23:02Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0699999965$1.00