re4lb0ndk1ller
0xc4a89f8f188c479cad11b5862487c94078c85943
- Realised P&L
- $-404.27
- Volume
- $72.5k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $6.01
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$292.07at 0.090Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
- +$83.90at 0.118US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
- +$68.33at 0.028Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?
- +$66.61at 0.059US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
- +$1.36at 0.120Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-05 18:12 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | SELL | 0.13 | $17.64 |
| 07-04 21:15 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? | BUY | 0.042465692 | $5.11 |
| 07-04 21:15 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? | BUY | 0.022583155 | $6.96 |
| 07-04 19:20 | Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in July? | BUY | 0.0297072243 | $3.91 |
| 07-04 19:20 | Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in July? | BUY | 0.0297183908 | $4.14 |
| 07-04 17:48 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | BUY | 0.12 | $7.20 |
| 07-04 08:52 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.058236492 | $129.78 |
| 07-04 08:49 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0651065046 | $1.82 |
| 07-03 19:36 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0280381171 | $63.27 |
| 06-30 14:56 | Will Claude be restored for international customers by September 30? | BUY | 0.442824323 | $45.30 |
| 06-29 13:40 | Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | BUY | 0.035 | $10.10 |
| 06-29 13:33 | Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.0297279703 | $51.37 |
| 06-29 13:30 | Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | BUY | 0.05 | $72.38 |
| 06-29 13:29 | Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | BUY | 0.0309444599 | $55.72 |
| 06-29 13:28 | Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by July 31? | BUY | 0.006 | $4.19 |