0xC4A881B38F85efEBEC93A44a69625A6d46F65604-1781599415631
0xc4a881b38f85efebec93a44a69625a6d46f65604
- Realised P&L
- $999.90
- Volume
- $57.7k
- Markets traded
- 125
- Open portfolio
- $26.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded125
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-09-15? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.205 | $22.02 | −$6.98 |
| São Paulo FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.340 | 0.085 | $4.50 | −$13.50 |
| Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5) · Liverpool FC | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? · Yes | 0.065 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$38.59 |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5) · Inter Miami CF | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5) · Manchester City FC | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET · Up | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET · Down | 0.313 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Spread: São Paulo FC (-2.5) · São Paulo FC | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will France vs. Spain end in a draw? · Yes | 0.107 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.195 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET · Down | 0.152 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Haiti? · Yes | 0.059 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.306Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 2.5
- +$796.50at 0.104England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5
- +$195.75at 0.696Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 2.5
- +$159.83at 0.062Spread: Uzbekistan (-1.5)
- +$143.73at 0.689France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 00:27 | Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.2699999985 | $29.00 |
| 09-16 00:27 | São Paulo FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $18.00 |
| 09-15 20:07 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15? | SELL | 0.9633898713 | $148.19 |
| 09-15 19:52 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.8099999989 | $124.60 |
| 09-13 20:47 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-13? | SELL | 0.86 | $26.17 |
| 09-13 20:40 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.229999997 | $7.00 |
| 09-13 19:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.2903319321 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 19:36 | Stade Brestois 29 vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.8702377179 | $109.82 |
| 09-13 19:20 | Stade Brestois 29 vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.935 | $118.00 |
| 09-13 17:07 | Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Manchester United FC O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.2745669291 | $44.28 |
| 09-13 16:52 | Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Manchester United FC O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.6199999984 | $100.00 |
| 09-13 16:49 | Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.981 | $175.43 |
| 09-13 16:44 | Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.7493100197 | $134.00 |
| 09-11 02:11 | Independiente del Valle vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $116.01 |
| 09-11 02:06 | CS Cienciano vs. Montevideo City Torque: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.48 | $22.64 |