PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xC4A881B38F85efEBEC93A44a69625A6d46F65604-1781599415631

0xc4a881b38f85efebec93a44a69625a6d46f65604

Realised P&L
$999.90
Volume
$57.7k
Markets traded
125
Open portfolio
$26.52

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded125
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration83.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-09-15? · Yes0.2700.205$22.02$6.98
São Paulo FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 2.5 · Over0.3400.085$4.50$13.50
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5) · Liverpool FC0.2800.000$0.00$5.00
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? · Yes0.0650.000$0.00$3.00
United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 0.5 · Over0.6100.000$0.00$38.59
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$2.00
Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5) · Inter Miami CF0.2900.000$0.00$7.00
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5) · Manchester City FC0.1700.000$0.00$5.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET · Up0.2200.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET · Down0.3130.000$0.00$2.00
Spread: São Paulo FC (-2.5) · São Paulo FC0.0150.000$0.00$5.00
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw? · Yes0.1070.000$0.00$100.00
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.1950.000$0.00$100.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET · Down0.1520.000$0.00$3.00
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Haiti? · Yes0.0590.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 00:27Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-09-15?BUY0.2699999985$29.00
09-16 00:27São Paulo FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 2.5BUY0.3399999966$18.00
09-15 20:07Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?SELL0.9633898713$148.19
09-15 19:52Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?BUY0.8099999989$124.60
09-13 20:47Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-13?SELL0.86$26.17
09-13 20:40Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.229999997$7.00
09-13 19:42Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETBUY0.2903319321$2.00
09-13 19:36Stade Brestois 29 vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5SELL0.8702377179$109.82
09-13 19:20Stade Brestois 29 vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5BUY0.935$118.00
09-13 17:07Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Manchester United FC O/U 0.5SELL0.2745669291$44.28
09-13 16:52Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Manchester United FC O/U 0.5BUY0.6199999984$100.00
09-13 16:49Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 0.5SELL0.981$175.43
09-13 16:44Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 0.5BUY0.7493100197$134.00
09-11 02:11Independiente del Valle vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5SELL0.999$116.01
09-11 02:06CS Cienciano vs. Montevideo City Torque: O/U 2.5SELL0.48$22.64