PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

hnkl

0xc4a4dcedd71e18a7bc7359e6cc1e9030717ffdc1

Realised P&L
$-385.25
Volume
$20.0k
Markets traded
65
Open portfolio
$23.24

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded65
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31? · OpenAI0.6500.155$14.31$45.69
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0890.080$8.93$1.07
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.5620.000$0.00$20.00
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.5800.000$0.00$10.00
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.3550.000$0.00$20.00
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13? · Yes0.4600.000$0.00$200.00
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04? · Yes0.6600.000$0.00$300.00
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.9400.000$0.00$710.00
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? · Yes0.6100.000$0.00$40.00
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw? · Yes0.6100.000$0.00$20.00
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00$100.00
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03? · Yes0.2770.000$0.00$160.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-27 21:29Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0889999923$10.00
07-19 19:15Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.397$42.23
07-19 19:01Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSELL0.5825$19.91
07-19 19:01Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5849999911$20.00
07-15 18:37England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4624999902$20.00
07-14 18:51Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.372$100.54
07-14 18:51Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.23$27.54
07-14 18:49France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5624999965$20.00
07-10 20:47Spain vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceBUY0.6974999971$30.00
07-10 19:02Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY0.6$30.00
07-07 07:24Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1879999936$20.00
07-06 19:14Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.5799999861$10.00
07-06 19:11Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.6199999975$50.00
06-27 22:39Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?BUY0.6099999927$20.00
06-27 22:38Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?SELL0.26$25.00