0xc4a3d5f8280438442dc9c8847bfa5cd2124081fa
- Realised P&L
- $-201.99
- Volume
- $168.5k
- Markets traded
- 123
- Open portfolio
- $4.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded123
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.020 | $4.17 | −$1.83 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$92.62at 0.065Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in February?
- +$78.73at 0.111Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?
- +$76.75at 0.138Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?
- +$53.86at 0.067Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of March?
- +$49.05at 0.081Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 07:19 | Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0240000004 | $2.00 |
| 07-19 07:16 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? | SELL | 0.021 | $2.71 |
| 07-19 07:13 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in July? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.19 |
| 07-02 14:22 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.0309999705 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 14:22 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in July? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.25 |
| 07-02 14:21 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in July? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.57 |
| 07-02 14:20 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.0310000005 | $2.00 |
| 07-02 14:20 | Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.024 | $2.40 |
| 07-02 14:18 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.0309999705 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 13:08 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,300 in July? | SELL | 0.0091133079 | $0.79 |
| 07-02 00:50 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,300 in July? | BUY | 0.0399151802 | $2.00 |
| 07-02 00:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.018 | $2.40 |
| 07-02 00:45 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,300 in July? | BUY | 0.0389999635 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 00:44 | Will USD/JPY hit 200 (High) in 2026? | SELL | 0.0626175156 | $1.40 |
| 07-02 00:42 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in July? | BUY | 0.016 | $2.00 |