dmatthew05
0xc4a0b4e733bd27a9395527f7d9b5e392ffe6bc3c
- Realised P&L
- $-4.3k
- Volume
- $506.6k
- Markets traded
- 97
- Open portfolio
- $182.04
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded97
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.4kat 0.212Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$4.7kat 0.547US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$1.7kat 0.359Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
- +$1.1kat 0.481Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
- +$1.0kat 0.648US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 20:46 | Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.1597804067 | $239.67 |
| 07-20 20:45 | Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.146 | $119.07 |
| 07-20 20:45 | Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.1444 | $144.40 |
| 07-20 20:45 | Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.145063 | $145.06 |
| 07-20 20:45 | Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.14256 | $142.56 |
| 07-20 20:45 | Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.144611264 | $723.06 |
| 07-20 20:44 | Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.108218034 | $541.09 |
| 07-20 20:44 | Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.09846687 | $98.47 |
| 07-20 20:44 | Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.086079187 | $860.79 |
| 07-20 03:18 | Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $7.80 |
| 07-20 03:18 | Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $97.50 |
| 07-20 03:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET | SELL | 0.07 | $20.39 |
| 07-20 03:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET | BUY | 0.7221873073 | $105.00 |
| 07-20 03:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET | BUY | 0.7199999997 | $105.00 |
| 07-20 03:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $105.00 |