0xC49D89E206FA8e1FC8c7e5D148bA171e5CD53D11-1769209491760
0xc49d89e206fa8e1fc8c7e5d148ba171e5cd53d11
- Realised P&L
- $-15.49
- Volume
- $336.88
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $3.97
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.860 | $3.97 | +$0.97 |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? · No | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.2m? · Yes | 0.164 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.054 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.71at 0.680US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$-0.22at 0.086Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-05 19:45 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.83 |
| 06-11 15:38 | Will Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections? | BUY | 0.649999935 | $3.00 |
| 06-04 15:57 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0540000015 | $2.00 |
| 06-04 15:50 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0259999948 | $5.00 |
| 06-04 15:50 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0839999294 | $1.00 |
| 01-24 03:35 | Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.2m? | BUY | 0.1638553922 | $4.00 |
| 01-24 03:34 | U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $10.00 |
| 01-24 03:24 | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $10.00 |