Morarin
0xc49cde7abd2e7f9995a4505176600c168b2d71f1
- Realised P&L
- $-556.41
- Volume
- $28.5k
- Markets traded
- 157
- Open portfolio
- $676.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded157
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$106.51at 0.340Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
- +$48.77at 0.101Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?
- +$27.50at 0.500Will Zacharia say "Nuclear" 2+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?
- +$22.02at 0.301Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026?
- +$20.52at 0.483Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 05:48 | Will there be between 35 and 59 tornadoes in the US in October 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $17.28 |
| 10-15 03:38 | Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.72 | $39.60 |
| 10-15 02:28 | Mastercard (MA) Q3 cross-border volume growth (local currency basis) 10.5% to 11.5%? | BUY | 0.71 | $36.21 |
| 10-15 02:27 | Will Claude go down 8-10 times in October? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.90 |
| 10-15 02:24 | Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $6.00 |
| 10-15 01:59 | Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $3.00T and $3.50T at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $5.60 |
| 10-15 01:09 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 5%-10%? | BUY | 0.729999994 | $40.00 |
| 10-15 00:49 | Meta (META) Q3 ad impression growth across Family of Apps <10%? | BUY | 0.26 | $6.50 |
| 10-15 00:40 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Senate election by 5%-10%? | BUY | 0.68 | $34.00 |
| 10-15 00:33 | No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7399999954 | $16.18 |
| 10-15 00:32 | No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7399999818 | $26.00 |
| 10-14 22:36 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Senate election by 5%-10%? | BUY | 0.32 | $16.00 |
| 10-14 22:02 | Starbucks (SBUX) Q4 global comparable store sales growth 7% to 9%? | BUY | 0.7 | $35.00 |
| 10-14 21:54 | Will Agapito win Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.87 | $26.97 |
| 10-14 20:27 | Will Agapito win Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.14 | $3.50 |