PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Morarin

0xc49cde7abd2e7f9995a4505176600c168b2d71f1

Realised P&L
$-556.41
Volume
$28.5k
Markets traded
157
Open portfolio
$676.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded157
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m? · No0.4330.903$62.11+$32.34
Danaher (DHR) Q3 non-GAAP core revenue growth 3% to 4.5%? · No0.7070.605$45.98−$7.73
Will Brendan Blomeley win the next Clarence mayoral election? · No0.5200.395$45.42−$14.36
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 5%-10%? · No0.7300.725$39.73−$0.27
United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 85%+? · No0.7300.710$38.31−$1.08
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Senate election by 5%-10%? · No0.6800.675$37.13−$0.27
Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.8300.785$36.32−$2.08
Mastercard (MA) Q3 cross-border volume growth (local currency basis) 10.5% to 11.5%? · No0.7100.705$35.95−$0.25
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-06 House election by 35%-40%? · Yes0.3530.310$32.28−$4.50
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? · No0.5000.465$30.23−$2.27
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? · No0.6800.545$26.19−$6.49
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? · No0.3000.455$22.75+$7.75
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%? · No0.8610.788$19.96−$1.82
Vertiv (VRT) Q3 adjusted operating margin 22% to 24%? · No0.7500.775$19.38+$0.63
Will two people dissent the October Fed decision? · No0.8200.805$19.36−$0.36

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 05:48Will there be between 35 and 59 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?BUY0.32$17.28
10-15 03:38Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat?BUY0.72$39.60
10-15 02:28Mastercard (MA) Q3 cross-border volume growth (local currency basis) 10.5% to 11.5%?BUY0.71$36.21
10-15 02:27Will Claude go down 8-10 times in October?BUY0.3$3.90
10-15 02:24Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of November 2026?BUY0.24$6.00
10-15 01:59Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $3.00T and $3.50T at the end of 2026?BUY0.28$5.60
10-15 01:09Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 5%-10%?BUY0.729999994$40.00
10-15 00:49Meta (META) Q3 ad impression growth across Family of Apps <10%?BUY0.26$6.50
10-15 00:40Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Senate election by 5%-10%?BUY0.68$34.00
10-15 00:33No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?BUY0.7399999954$16.18
10-15 00:32No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?BUY0.7399999818$26.00
10-14 22:36Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Senate election by 5%-10%?BUY0.32$16.00
10-14 22:02Starbucks (SBUX) Q4 global comparable store sales growth 7% to 9%?BUY0.7$35.00
10-14 21:54Will Agapito win Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.87$26.97
10-14 20:27Will Agapito win Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.14$3.50
Trader Morarin · PolyBot Pro