PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xc4930aa4179dcb731c0b0d921cf63440f388b8f3

Realised P&L
$33.75
Volume
$50.1k
Markets traded
318
Open portfolio
$840.44

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded318
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.3901.000$45.00+$27.45
Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June? · Yes0.0961.000$45.00+$40.70
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the April meeting? · Yes0.2761.000$45.00+$32.60
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-15? · Yes0.9301.000$45.00+$3.15
Will Israel strike 2 countries in February 2026? · Yes0.4041.000$40.00+$23.85
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026? · Yes0.2331.000$40.00+$30.70
Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 17m? · Yes0.5651.000$40.00+$17.38
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the March meeting? · Yes0.4441.000$35.00+$19.45
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the February Meeting? · Yes0.5631.000$35.00+$15.30
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5070.835$33.40+$13.11
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025–2026 NBA Northwest Division? · Yes0.9411.000$30.00+$1.78
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $70-$80 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 9 – Feb 13? · Yes0.6001.000$30.00+$12.00
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division? · Yes0.4541.000$25.00+$13.66
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division? · Yes0.5461.000$25.00+$11.35
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division? · Yes0.8101.000$25.00+$4.76

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-15 08:30Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-15?BUY0.93$4.65
02-15 08:30Will Arsenal FC vs. Wigan Athletic FC end in a draw?BUY0.048$0.24
02-15 08:30Will Wigan Athletic FC win on 2026-02-15?BUY0.02$0.10
02-15 08:25Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?BUY0.02$0.10
02-15 08:25Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?BUY0.003$0.01
02-15 08:25Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 23m?BUY0.002$0.01
02-15 08:25Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 17m?BUY0.89$4.45
02-15 08:25Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?BUY0.133$0.67
02-15 08:25Will 120 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?BUY0.113$0.57
02-15 08:25Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?BUY0.2$1.00
02-15 08:25Will 60 to 89 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?BUY0.004$0.02
02-15 08:25Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?BUY0.674$3.37
02-15 08:25Will 90 to 119 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?BUY0.006$0.03
02-15 08:24Will 90 to 119 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?BUY0.006$0.03
02-15 08:24Will 120 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?BUY0.113$0.57