0xc4930aa4179dcb731c0b0d921cf63440f388b8f3
- Realised P&L
- $33.75
- Volume
- $50.1k
- Markets traded
- 318
- Open portfolio
- $840.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded318
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.00at 0.001Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $82,000 on February 11?
- +$0.00at 0.162Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.146Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.002Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get fewer than 50M views in its first 7 days?
- +$0.00at 0.001Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-15 08:30 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-15? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 02-15 08:30 | Will Arsenal FC vs. Wigan Athletic FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.048 | $0.24 |
| 02-15 08:30 | Will Wigan Athletic FC win on 2026-02-15? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.10 |
| 02-15 08:25 | Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 14m? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.10 |
| 02-15 08:25 | Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.01 |
| 02-15 08:25 | Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 23m? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 02-15 08:25 | Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 17m? | BUY | 0.89 | $4.45 |
| 02-15 08:25 | Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m? | BUY | 0.133 | $0.67 |
| 02-15 08:25 | Will 120 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026? | BUY | 0.113 | $0.57 |
| 02-15 08:25 | Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 02-15 08:25 | Will 60 to 89 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.02 |
| 02-15 08:25 | Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026? | BUY | 0.674 | $3.37 |
| 02-15 08:25 | Will 90 to 119 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $0.03 |
| 02-15 08:24 | Will 90 to 119 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $0.03 |
| 02-15 08:24 | Will 120 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026? | BUY | 0.113 | $0.57 |