PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xc4930aa4179dcb731c0b0d921cf63440f388b8f3

Realised P&L
$25.34
Volume
$50.1k
Markets traded
318
Open portfolio
$841.55

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded318
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-15 08:30Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-15?BUY0.93$4.65
02-15 08:30Will Arsenal FC vs. Wigan Athletic FC end in a draw?BUY0.048$0.24
02-15 08:30Will Wigan Athletic FC win on 2026-02-15?BUY0.02$0.10
02-15 08:25Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?BUY0.02$0.10
02-15 08:25Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?BUY0.003$0.01
02-15 08:25Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 23m?BUY0.002$0.01
02-15 08:25Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 17m?BUY0.89$4.45
02-15 08:25Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?BUY0.133$0.67
02-15 08:25Will 120 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?BUY0.113$0.57
02-15 08:25Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?BUY0.2$1.00
02-15 08:25Will 60 to 89 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?BUY0.004$0.02
02-15 08:25Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?BUY0.674$3.37
02-15 08:25Will 90 to 119 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?BUY0.006$0.03
02-15 08:24Will 90 to 119 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?BUY0.006$0.03
02-15 08:24Will 120 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?BUY0.113$0.57