Melissa2259
0xc4923179c216b4d00cf879aa91f98546b16f3abe
- Realised P&L
- $-21.06
- Volume
- $26.5k
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $18.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tarris Reed Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $18.19 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.41at 0.997Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?
- +$0.14at 0.999Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
- +$0.14at 0.960Ethereum above $3,400 on February 7?
- +$0.13at 0.998Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
- +$0.13at 0.999Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 10:10 | Will Tarris Reed Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.20 |
| 09-12 03:26 | Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.09 |
| 09-12 03:24 | Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.999 | $11.00 |
| 09-01 02:12 | Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.00 |
| 08-30 03:08 | Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.997 | $7.29 |
| 08-30 03:06 | Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $8.08 |
| 08-30 03:05 | Will Bennett Stirtz win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | SELL | 0.996 | $11.08 |
| 08-29 12:26 | Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.10 |
| 08-27 03:48 | Will Bennett Stirtz win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | BUY | 0.998 | $11.10 |
| 08-27 00:42 | Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.99 |
| 08-27 00:41 | Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.999 | $13.20 |
| 08-25 00:59 | Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.998 | $7.30 |
| 08-11 04:52 | Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.10 |
| 07-30 19:57 | Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.20 |
| 07-30 13:25 | Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.998 | $9.28 |