kevimickey
0xc48e3566a97711edc9a8531b7ed635cbbffef355
- Realised P&L
- $84.55
- Volume
- $12.7k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $77.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the SD-AL House seat? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.950 | $47.10 | +$0.50 |
| Tom Lee charged by December 31? · No | 0.980 | 0.979 | $30.45 | −$0.05 |
| Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.965 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$74.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$615.00at 0.500Solana Up or Down on July 1?
- +$580.93at 0.570Jets vs. Stars
- +$475.00at 0.500Dogecoin Up or Down on July 8?
- +$317.80at 0.650Tigers vs. Twins
- +$296.00at 0.500Marlins vs. Braves
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-14 11:11 | Tigers vs. Twins | BUY | 0.65 | $590.20 |
| 08-08 10:04 | Marlins vs. Braves | BUY | 0.5 | $296.00 |
| 08-04 08:20 | Solana Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.5 | $92.00 |
| 07-04 12:54 | Dogecoin Up or Down on July 5? | BUY | 0.5 | $101.00 |
| 07-03 10:37 | White Sox vs. Dodgers | BUY | 0.73 | $124.10 |
| 07-02 06:49 | Orioles vs. Rangers | BUY | 0.42 | $227.64 |
| 06-30 08:15 | Solana Up or Down on July 1? | BUY | 0.5 | $615.00 |
| 05-13 07:38 | Jets vs. Stars | BUY | 0.57 | $770.07 |