PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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0xc4827bdd29dc77591f1fa4fc5492e263fed2a6cd

Realised P&L
$-78.75
Volume
$13.3k
Markets traded
146
Open portfolio
$17.14

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded146
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Dragan Đilas be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · No0.9990.998$12.69−$0.01
Sam Houston vs. Liberty · Sam Houston0.1700.165$4.46−$0.13
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11? · No0.1200.000$0.00−$1.90
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$4.50
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025? · Yes0.7400.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Solana reach $220 October 27-November 2? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00−$1.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-07 09:39Will Dragan Đilas be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?BUY0.9986013211$12.70
10-07 09:35Sam Houston vs. LibertyBUY0.17$4.59
09-11 08:26Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?BUY0.995999938$14.20
09-11 08:16Houthis seize an oil tanker by September 30, 2026?BUY0.88$2.64
08-29 13:13Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026?BUY0.999$17.00
07-25 08:05Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?BUY0.996$16.90
06-07 07:54Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?BUY0.997$136.00
06-07 03:50Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 6, 2026?BUY0.988$134.00
06-04 08:09Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 5, 2026?BUY0.9699999963$130.00
06-03 07:50Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?BUY0.9140407376$119.86
05-29 02:23Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?BUY0.9839999999$118.00
05-24 10:46Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?BUY0.9878545235$117.00
05-22 06:32Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in May 2026?BUY0.999$117.00
05-16 10:34Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?BUY0.9666873236$113.00
05-15 06:06Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?BUY0.9769999998$110.00