0xC4825694fB1ca905a4F54C9021E9eAB855626116-1768223432033
0xc4825694fb1ca905a4f54c9021e9eab855626116
- Realised P&L
- $4.8k
- Volume
- $15.6k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $5.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar30.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on October 10? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.193 | $5.68 | −$9.04 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 10? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.003 | $0.07 | −$11.95 |
| Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 4.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.50 |
| Blues vs. Sharks: O/U 4.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.5k |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of July 13 2026? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.71 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.0kat 0.500Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5
- +$1.9kat 0.500Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5
- +$1.3kat 0.500Blues vs. Sharks: O/U 4.5
- +$20.64at 0.500Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of July 13 2026?
- +$14.00at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-31 15:14 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C or below on September 2? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.08 |
| 07-06 08:40 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,850 Week of July 6 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $9.81 |
| 07-04 03:38 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 5? | BUY | 0.996 | $8.64 |
| 06-24 01:32 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 25? | BUY | 0.978 | $15.79 |
| 06-16 01:36 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 17? | BUY | 0.98 | $11.05 |
| 06-11 01:24 | Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.955 | $10.50 |
| 06-04 11:43 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 5? | BUY | 0.9840325 | $11.81 |
| 05-27 01:07 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $126 Week of May 25 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $7.45 |
| 05-19 00:36 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of May 18 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $9.50 |
| 05-14 01:40 | Will Meta (META) close above $580 on May 14? | BUY | 0.95 | $12.35 |
| 05-06 05:10 | Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.76 | $8.21 |
| 04-20 11:18 | Stars vs. Wild: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.94 | $14.99 |
| 02-26 12:21 | Paradex FDV above $750M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.1k |