PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xC4825694fB1ca905a4F54C9021E9eAB855626116-1768223432033

0xc4825694fb1ca905a4f54c9021e9eab855626116

Realised P&L
$4.8k
Volume
$15.6k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$5.76

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar30.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration54.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration98.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on October 10? · Yes0.5000.193$5.68−$9.04
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 10? · Yes0.5000.003$0.07−$11.95
Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 4.5 · Under0.5000.000$0.00−$26.50
Blues vs. Sharks: O/U 4.5 · Under0.5000.000$0.00−$2.5k
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of July 13 2026? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$24.00
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 1? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$13.71

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-31 15:14Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C or below on September 2?BUY0.998$5.08
07-06 08:40Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,850 Week of July 6 2026?BUY0.995$9.81
07-04 03:38Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 5?BUY0.996$8.64
06-24 01:32Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 25?BUY0.978$15.79
06-16 01:36Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 17?BUY0.98$11.05
06-11 01:24Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5BUY0.955$10.50
06-04 11:43Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 5?BUY0.9840325$11.81
05-27 01:07Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $126 Week of May 25 2026?BUY0.83$7.45
05-19 00:36Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of May 18 2026?BUY0.95$9.50
05-14 01:40Will Meta (META) close above $580 on May 14?BUY0.95$12.35
05-06 05:10Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5BUY0.76$8.21
04-20 11:18Stars vs. Wild: O/U 4.5BUY0.94$14.99
02-26 12:21Paradex FDV above $750M one day after launch?BUY0.98$1.1k