0xc481f4e87c57cb8752aac97525b679cef7642bbb
0xc481f4e87c57cb8752aac97525b679cef7642bbb
- Realised P&L
- $358.33
- Volume
- $45.0k
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $950.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.513 | 0.515 | $301.00 | +$1.00 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.825 | $201.22 | +$1.22 |
| Will Finland win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.565 | $100.89 | +$0.89 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.635 | $100.79 | +$0.79 |
| Will England win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.715 | $99.31 | −$0.69 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.475 | $98.96 | −$1.04 |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.445 | $48.37 | −$1.63 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$456.46at 0.675Will Portugal win on 2026-09-27?
- +$300.73at 0.492Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?
- +$185.63at 0.740Will France win on 2026-09-25?
- +$170.60at 0.532Will Croatia win on 2026-09-26?
- +$130.97at 0.640Will Austria win on 2026-09-24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 23:07 | Will England win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.7199999994 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 23:06 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.8199999993 | $200.00 |
| 09-27 23:05 | Will Finland win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.5599999987 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 23:03 | Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.6299999989 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 23:02 | Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.4799999985 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 23:01 | Will Sweden win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.4599999965 | $50.00 |
| 09-27 22:54 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.5099999984 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 20:37 | Will Portugal win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.8399999952 | $7.00 |
| 09-27 20:23 | Will Portugal win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.6999999984 | $90.00 |
| 09-27 20:22 | Will Portugal win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.6999999993 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 20:17 | Will Portugal win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.6599999979 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 20:12 | Will Portugal win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.6699999993 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 20:11 | Will Portugal win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.6699999993 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 20:11 | Will Portugal win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.6699999993 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 20:10 | Will Germany win on 2026-09-27? | SELL | 0.49 | $285.28 |